China has sufficient soybean reserve, official says

An agricultural official said on Sunday that China has sufficient soybean reserve to ensure fodder supply this year in response to concerns that the global novel coronavirus pandemic could disrupt supply chains and fuel price surge in imported soybeans.

The remarks came after a few suppliers raised the price of soybean meal – a major raw material for forages widely used in pig and chicken farms.

Wei Hongyang, deputy director of the animal husbandry and veterinary department of the Ministry of Agricultural and Rural Affairs, said China relies on homegrown corns and imported soybeans for fodder production. While the corn supply has remained stable, the soybeans are susceptible to global epidemics, which could affect shipments.

But Wei said the supply and demand of soybeans is generally balanced in the first quarter, and the soybean meal output has slightly outstripped its consumption.

China imported 17.79 million metric tons of soybeans in the first quarter, a 6.4 percent increase year-on-year, Wei said, quoting figures from the Central Administration of Customs.

The figures from the agricultural ministry show the output of soybean meal grew 4 percent in the first three months this year, reaching 14.63 million tons, slightly higher than the 14.56 million tons of soybean meal used for fodder production.

The demand in the second quarter is expected to be met as well, he said.

Wei said the price of soybean meal has jumped from 2,900 yuan to 3,300 yuan per metric ton in the second half of March, but lower than the historic high of 3,600. It has fallen to 3,200 yuan by end of last week.

He said the price rise was mainly fueled by psychological factors not the actual supply.

Global ports would step up effort to ensure soybean shipments amid the pandemic, as it is in the interest of both exporters and importers, he added.

He said he doesn't expect further price surge in the forage, given the slump in the hog and chicken production. Besides, technologies are available to reduce the forage-maker's reliance on soybeans.