<tt id="6hsgl"><pre id="6hsgl"><pre id="6hsgl"></pre></pre></tt>
          <nav id="6hsgl"><th id="6hsgl"></th></nav>
          国产免费网站看v片元遮挡,一亚洲一区二区中文字幕,波多野结衣一区二区免费视频,天天色综网,久久综合给合久久狠狠狠,男人的天堂av一二三区,午夜福利看片在线观看,亚洲中文字幕在线无码一区二区

          Need for managing inflation

          Updated: 2012-02-22 11:06

          By Syetarn Hansakul (China Daily)

            Comments() Print Mail Large Medium  Small

          Need for managing inflation

          Over the weekend, China's central bank announced it would lower the reserve requirement ratio by half a percentage point to 20.5 percent for larger financial institutions in an effort at "fine tuning" as Premier Wen Jiabao said a week ago.

          It's a move intended to maintain economic growth by pumping up substantial amount of liquidity into the financial system while keeping inflation in check.

          Managing inflation expectations in China is not an easy task. In a country with a population of more than 1.3 billion people, the key economic objective is to deliver economic growth and jobs. In recent years, the emphasis has been shifted to not only the level of growth alone, but also the quality of growth and sustainability. Keeping price pressures within reasonable limits and managing inflation expectations remain significant.

          A look at the past few decades shows that the country has fared well in regards to inflation management. The double-digit inflation days of the 1980s and mid-1990s appear to be over. In the past decade, inflation was contained at below 6 percent on an annual average basis, despite consistently strong economic growth. Nonetheless, the road ahead will not be easy.

          It's not always convenient to blame domestic inflation on food prices. With several ongoing structural changes, price pressures look set to intensify. The structural changes include the rise of large emerging market economies, which include China that would imply a persistent surge in demand for the world's scarce commodities such as oil, minerals, and food.

          The pressure for higher wages is here to stay. One only needs to look at recent labor discontent in the southern provinces to see the picture. Plans to provide for better welfare for workers along with their pension plans are positive steps that will raise the cost of hiring workers.

          Additionally, the green tax, which is necessary for long-term sustainable growth, will raise production costs and the prices of products. Higher commodity prices and wages seem inevitable as the nation matures into a new stage of development. Although it is mainly food price inflation that has driven the Consumer Price Index (CPI) higher in recent years, there is no mistaking the trend that core CPI has been raising steadily. The consistent increase in core CPI reflects the impact of structural changes on the national economy.

          Chinese authorities have been using several monetary policy levers, besides adjusting interest rates; the People's Bank of China (PBOC) establishes targets for money and loan growth. The task is complicated by the existence of a sizeable informal lending sector. The current reminbi regime adds complexity to monetary management. Years of strong accumulation of foreign reserves have increased the money supply, inflationary pressures, and subsequent sterilizing operations that bear fiscal costs.

          China must contend with the management of domestic liquidity and inflation expectations. In the current cycle, authorities have signalled they are expecting a downturn in economic growth. The inflation-fighting objective of 2011 is giving way to concerns over downside risks. The reserve requirement ratio for banks has already been cut, which means the tightening monetary cycle has passed.

          It would be wise for the country to tread carefully with monetary easing in this current cycle. The population faces many unfulfilled basic demands such as housing. Demand-pushed inflationary pressures are much stronger than in mature economies. To inject liquidity into the system beyond a certain point could create future asset bubbles and raise risks of boom-bust economic cycles. Addressing supply and supply-side constraints would be another way to manage inflationary pressures. It is encouraging to see the promotion of more efficient farming methods as well as efforts to increase housing supply for lower-income groups.

          Overall, it is unlikely the PBOC will engage in aggressive monetary easing this year. Monetary policy for most of 2012 could best be characterized as "neutral with an easing bias". The recent rebound in the Purchasing Manager Index is encouraging but there is no guarantee that global headwinds as seen in the fourth quarter of 2011 will not recur. Flexibility not only in monetary policy but also in the use of other policy tools will be the way to go. We had already seen a selective easing on curbs in the property sector in some cities.

          In the medium- to longer-term future structural changes can improve the efficiency of monetary policy and manage inflation expectations. Other than relieving the bottleneck on the supply side, a gradual transition to a more market-based interest rate and credit allocation system as well as efforts to bring the informal banking sector under the purview of regulators should be the main tasks at hand.

          The author is a senior economist at Deutsche Bank.

          主站蜘蛛池模板: 人人看人人鲁狠狠高清| 九九热在线视频精品免费| 亚洲性一交一乱一伦视频| 亚洲国产一区二区三区四| 狠狠爱五月丁香亚洲综| 日韩成人精品一区二区三区| 亚洲Av综合日韩精品久久久| 中文毛片无遮挡高潮| 国产69精品久久久久久人妻精品| 欧美激情 亚洲 在线| 91午夜福利在线观看精品| 四虎永久精品免费视频| 久久无码中文字幕免费影院| 精品国产一区二区三区大| 亚洲永久精品唐人导航网址| 亚洲中文字幕无码卡通动漫野外| 野花在线观看免费观看高清| 国模少妇无码一区二区三区| 国产肥妇一区二区熟女精品| 一本一道av无码中文字幕麻豆| 久久久噜噜噜久久| 国精品91人妻无码一区二区三区| 亚洲精品色婷婷一区二区| 国产亚洲精品自在线| 日韩区二区三区中文字幕| 丰满少妇被猛烈进出69影院| 成 人色 网 站 欧美大片| 性做久久久久久久久| 天天躁夜夜躁狠狠综合| 黄色a一级视频| 国产精品一二二区视在线| 东方四虎在线观看av| 另类图片亚洲人妻中文无码| 亚洲国产成熟视频在线多多| 色综合热无码热国产| 一本色道无码不卡在线观看| 色婷婷欧美在线播放内射 | 国产精品毛片一区二区| 不卡视频在线一区二区三区| 亚洲精品日本一区二区| 国产亚洲精品日韩香蕉网|