SAP, Oracle battle it out

Business-management software makers in cloud-computing fight

FRANKFURT - SAP AG, the largest maker of business-management software by sales, agreed to buy SuccessFactors Inc for $3.4 billion in cash to keep pace with archrival Oracle Corp in the cloud-computing market.

SAP will purchase the California-based company, which makes software used to manage employee performance, for $40 a share, 52 percent more than the closing price in New York trading on Dec 2, Germany-based SAP said in an e-mailed statement on Saturday.

SAP is promoting cloud computing, which lets clients rent software delivered over the Web rather than install it on their own machines, as a safe way to outsource data centers and reduce the need for hardware. The deal comes six weeks after Oracle agreed to buy RightNow Technologies Inc for $1.5 billion.

"This is a much-needed move by SAP," Ray Wang, head of San Francisco-based Constellation Research, said in a telephone interview. "What SAP had in human resources - basic transactional software such as payroll - was good enough for the old era. In the new era, performance reviews and talent management will be important."

SuccessFactors was founded in 2001 and has more than 3,500 customers with more than 15 million subscribers in 168 countries, according to its website. The United States company is predicted to have $502 million in revenue in 2013, up from $332 million this year, according to analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

"We saw Oracle buy RightNow Technologies just a couple of weeks ago at 5.5 times that company's next year revenue and SAP is going to pay almost 8 times 2012 revenue, said Brendan Barnicle," an analyst at Pacific Crest Securities in Portland, Oregon. "But these guys are growing much faster than other people in software on demand. This is a marvelous addition for SAP."

SAP co-Chief Executive Officer Bill McDermott said on a conference call on Saturday that the SuccessFactors deal will help SAP achieve its goal of exceeding 20 billion euros in sales in 2015. SuccessFactors founder Lars Dalgaard will join SAP's board and head the company's cloud business.

The deal will "slightly" dilute earnings per share in 2012 before adding to profit in subsequent years, the company said. SAP will still be able to reach a 35 percent profit margin by 2015, even as Chief Financial Officer Werner Brandt said that companies that sell software that is accessed over the Internet have a lower margin than others.

McDermott said the "scale" SuccessFactors brings to SAP's cloud offering will help it maintain the 2015 margin target. The German company expects to complete the transaction in the first quarter of next year.

The SuccessFactors deal shows that SAP co-CEOs McDermott and Jim Hagemann Snabe, who took the helm in February last year, don't have the same reluctance as the German company's last two CEOs, Leo Apotheker and Henning Kagermann, to expand through acquisitions.

While Oracle Corp has spent more than $42 billion on takeovers since the beginning of 2005, SAP had made only two large acquisitions in its 39-year history before SuccessFactors: Sybase, a maker of mobile-device applications, for $5.8 billion in May last year, and business-intelligence company Business Objects, for 4.8 billion euros in 2007.

SAP paid a premium of 56 percent for Sybase and 20 percent for Business Objects, based on a 20-day average share price of the target before the purchase was announced, according to Bloomberg data. Over the past five years, the average premium paid for 56 North American software targets valued at more than $500 million was 24 percent, according to the data.

"The price is high," said Frank Niemann, a consultant at Pierre Audoin Consultants in Munich. "On the other hand, SAP would not be able to build such a solution with such a success in a reasonable period of time."

The global market for cloud services may surge to $148.8 billion in 2014 from $68.3 billion in 2010, according to researcher Gartner Inc.

"This is a direct message to Oracle and Salesforce, that SAP is clearly not going to be left behind in the cloud," Gartner Inc analyst Donald Feinberg said by telephone. "Organic growth is becoming increasingly difficult for companies like SAP, Oracle, IBM and this is definitely a major push in that direction."

Bloomberg News

(China Daily 12/05/2011 page14)