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Polls suggest higher voter turnout likely
(Agencies)
Updated: 2004-11-01 20:48 Voter turnout is likely to be higher than in recent presidential
elections — especially among young voters — in a very close race, weekend polls
suggest. Those polls suggest the race is very close nationally with some polls
showing President Bush and Democratic Sen. John
Kerry even and another showing Bush
slightly ahead.
Bush has a slight edge at 48 percent and Kerry at 45
percent in a Pew Research Center poll, while several national polls released
this weekend showed the race even. New polls show Bush and Kerry knotted in key
states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota and New Hampshire.
More than eight in 10 registered voters in the Pew poll, 84 percent, describe
this election as especially important, compared with 67 percent in 2000 and 61
percent in 1996.
Pew pollster Andrew Kohut said the poll suggests turnout could be as high or
slightly higher than in 1992, when it was more than 55 percent of those eligible
to vote — based on his analysis of voter enthusiasm.
Bush had more intense support from his backers than Kerry, though both get
the backing of about nine in 10 in their own parties.
The poll suggested the two candidates are running about even among early
voters.
The Pew poll of 2,408 registered voters and 1,925 likely voters was taken
Oct. 27-Oct. 30 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5
percentage points.
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