A visit of vision and legacy

After about a decade of vacillating, New Delhi recently decided to reform the visa regime. The expected result is another MoU, heralding a new visa regime to expand people-to-people contacts and facilitate business travel for trade and investment.

Under the new regime, the duration of business visa for Chinese visitors will be increased from six months to one year, employment and project visa applications will be cleared by India's Ministry of Home Affairs within the prescribed limit of 30 days and the bar on Chinese visitors returning to India before two months will be lifted. In addition, spouses and dependent family members of Chinese diplomats posted in India will be issued visas for equal duration.

However, just ahead of the visit, the Indian media raised doubts over whether an MoU on launching a new visa regime will be signed during the visit. In fact, the governments on both sides realize the importance of promoting people-to-people contacts to enhance mutual understanding. No matter whether the visa regime will be signed during the visit, such common view is and will still be shared by both governments.

More importantly, while the two sides may discuss these threadbare, the Indian side is likely to underplay its concerns over China granting stapled visas to Indian citizens as also their fears about the formidable and rising trade deficit. This has not only made bilateral trade somewhat one-sided, but also has slowed down trade growth, making it difficult to reach the $100 billion target by 2015.

According to the latest data, China-India trade - once described as the strongest pillar of their rapprochement - dropped from $73 billion in 2011 to $66 billion last year, and the trend for the first nine months of this year are hardly encouraging. In the face of declining Indian exports to China, the current trend indicates a further slowdown with their deficit having already hit $24.7 billion by September this year, and it's rising.

But perhaps the most important part of the visit will be Singh's speech at the Party School in Beijing on Oct 24. The invitation to speak at the apex ideology institute of the Communist Party of China's Central Committee is a rare honor and has never been extended to any Indian leader. This is where Singh will outline his vision for India's China policy and outline his legacy to be carried forward by future leaders from both sides.

The author is professor for Diplomacy & Disarmament at Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi.

(China Daily 10/22/2013 page9)