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          Jan. 24, worst day of the year
          (Agencies)
          Updated: 2005-01-26 09:13

          Is the midwinter weather wearing you down? Angry with yourself for already breaking your New Year's resolutions?

          Wish you could crawl back under the covers and not have to face another day of rain, sleet, snow and paperwork?

          Probably. After all, it's Jan. 24, the "most depressing day of the year," according to a U.K. psychologist.

          Dr. Cliff Arnall's calculations show that misery peaks Monday.

          Arnall, who specializes in seasonal disorders at the University of Cardiff, Wales, created a formula that takes into account numerous feelings to devise peoples' lowest point.

          The model is:

          [W + (D-d)] x TQ

          M x NA

          The equation is broken down into seven variables: (W) weather, (D) debt, (d) monthly salary, (T) time since Christmas, (Q) time since failed quit attempt, (M) low motivational levels and (NA) the need to take action.

          Arnall found that, while days technically get longer after Dec. 21, cyclonic weather systems take hold in January, bringing low, dark clouds to Britain.

          "Following the initial thrill of New Year's celebrations and changing over a new leaf, reality starts to sink in," Arnall said. "The realization coincides with the dark clouds rolling in and the obligation to pay off Christmas credit card bills."

          The formula was devised to help a travel company "analyze when people book holidays and holiday trends," said Alex Kennedy, spokesperson for Porter Novelli, a London-based PR agency.

          It seems that people are most likely to buy a ticket to paradise when they feel like hell.

          Research shows an escape to the sun can have real health benefits.

          Up to a third of the population, in Britain at least, suffers from seasonal affective disorder, or SAD, also known as winter depression, according to MIND, a leading mental health charity in England and Wales. Furthermore, nine out of 10 people report sleeping and eating more during the darker months.

          While most cases of the winter blues are not severe, 2 percent to 5 percent of those with SAD cannot function without continuous treatment.

          However, it's extremely rare to find anyone with the disorder within 30 degrees of the equator, where days are long and the sky is bright year-round, according to MIND.

          Although their findings appear to support a key factor in Arnall's research for Porter Novelli and its client, Sky Travel, the charity warned against overemphasizing the psychologist's claims.

          "These types of formulae, if anything, probably serve to oversimplify the complexities of real-life experience," a spokesperson said on customary condition of anonymity.

          While travel companies hope to turn gloom into gold this date, for those unable to book a last-minute tropical getaway, Arnall might want to consider a formula for the "happiest day of the year."



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