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          Feb trade surplus drops 64%
          [ 2008-03-11 15:19 ]

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          China's trade surplus plunged 64 percent to $8.6 billion in February, far below market expectations.

          Export growth decelerated sharply to 6.5 percent year-on-year, compared with 26 percent in the same period in 2007 and 27 percent in January.

          Growth in imports surged 35.1 percent year-on-year, compared with 21 percent in 2007 and 27.6 percent in January.

          The Spring Festival holiday, which lasts 15 days for many exporting firms, was the major reason behind the export drop, said Mei Xinyu, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation.

          Extreme weather in January and February, which led to widespread power and transportation disruptions, also affected production and exports, the researcher added.

          Some analysts suggested the drop in export growth reflects a slowdown in US-led external demand.

          "Export growth to the US has decelerated steadily over the past year, reflecting weaker US demand for imports as well as the strengthening Chinese currency against the US dollar," said Wang Tao, head of economics and strategy, Bank of America Greater China.

          Changes in export-rebate policy were also cited as a reason.

          "Export growth surged 52 percent year-on-year in February 2007 as exporters rushed to beat widely anticipated cuts to VAT rebates. This, in effect, created a high base, from which last month's growth was calculated," said Li Jing, chairman of China Equities, JP Morgan Securities.

          Also, the Spring Festival boosted domestic demand for luxury or imported goods.

          "It is a tradition for Chinese to reward themselves with something extravagant, such as branded clothes, or even a car, during the holiday, which can cause higher demand for imported goods compared with other months," Mei explained.

          Bank of America believes the underlying export and economic growth momentum remains much stronger than suggested by February data, and expects GDP to grow by 9-10 percent this year, with a sizable trade surplus of around $260 billion, roughly the same as last year.

          JP Morgan expects export figures to rebound this month, but anticipates a more moderate slowdown in export growth over the course of the year.

          Meanwhile, soaring commodity prices continue to boost the value of imports - February marks the fifth month in a row that imports have grown faster than exports.

          Questions:

          1. What was the exact figure in US dollars of China's trade surplus plunge in February?

          2. What reasons were given for the plunge?

          Answers:

          1.$8.6 billion.

          2.The Spring Festival holiday and the extreme weather, which led to widespread power and transportation disruptions.

          (英語點津 Celene 編輯)

          About the broadcaster:

          Brendan joined The China Daily in 2007 as a language polisher in the Language Tips Department, where he writes a regular column for Chinese English Language learners, reads audio news for listeners and anchors the weekly video news in addition to assisting with on location stories. Elsewhere he writes Op’Ed pieces with a China focus that feature in the Daily’s Website opinion section.

          He received his B.A. and Post Grad Dip from Curtin University in 1997 and his Masters in Community Development and Management from Charles Darwin University in 2003. He has taught in Japan, England, Australia and most recently China. His articles have featured in the Bangkok Post, The Taipei Times, The Asia News Network and in-flight magazines.

           

           
           
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