Better predictions and response

The China Earthquake Administration put forward a guiding principle in 2011, which makes "mitigating the casualty and property losses brought about by earthquakes to the maximum" as the fundamental objective. The goal is to ultimately improve the nation's capability to predict earthquakes and mitigate their effects through technological upgrading and innovation, better training for rescue workers and improved social management. Governments at all levels need to meet their responsibilities, and it is important that China boost the professionalism of its rescue efforts and promote scientific and technical innovation to improve its prediction and response capabilities.

At present emergency rescue is still the most direct measure when an earthquake occurs, but the reinforcement of seismic surveillance and increased forecast accuracy is obviously the most effective way to reduce the number of casualties.

However, this is one of world's top scientific challenges. China is promoting better short-term and long-term forecasting of earthquakes. To achieve this, the China Earthquake Administration has been upgrading its surveillance capabilities and completing the layout of a high precision seismic network. By accumulating information on earthquake precursors and setting up theoretical models of strong quakes, hopefully, more effective earthquake predictions can be achieved in the future.

The administration has also drawn up a development and policy plan for earthquake science and technology; including key national projects, and it is organizing and coordinating the research and development of technology and equipment for rescue work after an earthquake. But better training of rescue workers, with more education bases and courses in universities, is needed and scientific and technological talent is also badly needed to improve the overall quality of the nation's earthquake scientists.

Finally, it is necessary to actively raise people's awareness of what they should do during and after an earthquake. Publicity and education are needed to instill in the public how to respond should an earthquake hit.

The author is deputy director of the Institute of Geology of the China Earthquake Administration.

(China Daily 05/13/2013 page8)