A shot in the arm for Sino-US ties

Lew said: "A high standard US-China BIT is a priority for the United States and is critical to leveling the playing field for American workers and businesses. A successful BIT negotiation would open up China's highly restrictive system to foreign investment and help create a wide range of opportunities for US firms to participate in the Chinese market. Negotiations could address a range of US commercial and economic priorities, including greater market access, removal of investment barriers, protections against technology transfer, and increased transparency."

Chinese Commerce Minister Gao Hucheng has rightly said that "investment is an important area of China-US economic cooperation. It is a mutual concern of both parties, and both parties need to have creative thinking in order to create convenient conditions for the mutually beneficial cooperation between businesses of the two countries."

We will indeed need lots of creative thinking. Graham Allison, a professor at Harvard University, has written about the historical pattern that he calls the "Thucydides trap". His contention is that rarely can a rising nation avoid war with the dominant power. He traces this back to ancient Greece when the historian Thucydides said Athens' rise stoked Sparta's fear that its dominance was threatened. The resulting 30-year war destroyed both civilizations in the process. And closer to our own time, since 1500 in 11 of 15 similar cases, the result was also war.

As the world's two most important countries, it is critical that both sides find as many ways as possible to keep lines of communications open. Why? Knowledge brings understanding. The lack of mutual understanding gives rise to suspicion, leads to miscalculations and can result in both hot and cold wars.

The US-China relations are not like a marriage, as some people like to describe it, rather it is like the ties between conjoined twins who share common organs and cannot be separated without both perishing. In fact, the two countries will continue to share such a relationship in the long term.

No one can be sure whether the two countries can always be best of friends, but they have the potential to be the best of partners. Ignoring each other and the "Thucydides trap" can be their undoing, Working together, while conceding their differences, offers hope not only to the peoples of both countries, but also to the others across the world who are affected by Sino-American relations. The S&ED is a key tool in this regard. And the S&ED, with its more cooperative attitude, especially the opening of serious negotiation on a BIT, bodes well in this regard.

The author is a senior advisor to Tsinghua University and former director and vice-president of ABC Television in New York.

(China Daily 07/22/2013 page9)